I’m staring at the 4-hour BTC/USD chart, and it’s flashing “calm-before-the-storm.” After a textbook V-reversal in early April, price hugged that emerald 60-period EMA like a magnet, stair-stepping all the way to a euphoric peak near $112 K in mid-May. Since then we’ve been gliding sideways—volume cooled, volatility bottled, sentiment yawning. That lull never lasts.
- Trend Structure: Higher highs, higher lows remain intact—bulls still own the sandbox.
- Dynamic Support: The green ribbon (20/60 EMA cloud) keeps catching every dip; buyers defend the ~$102 K zone with military precision.
- Momentum Coil: RSI (not pictured) has reset from overbought to neutral while price refused to break trend—classic “energy reload.”
- Measured Move Math: Break above $106 K projects a symmetrical leg right back toward $112 K-$114 K—then blue sky.
Feel the tension?
Each 4-hour candle tightens the spring.
When that red fast EMA slices up through price once more, history says the move erupts within 16-24 hours—often before most traders finish their coffee.
What This Means for You
- Front-run the breakout with a tight stop beneath $101 K.
- Ladder exits around previous high, leave a moon-bag for $120 K+.
- Prefer risk-off? Wait for the first retest of $106 K as newfound support—confirmation is profit insurance.
I’ve laid the breadcrumbs; the next step is yours.