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CFP - Value Pick - National Championship
Hi BettrNation family! We surveyed the market and there appears to be the below consensus among experts/platforms for the championship game tonight! Let us know if you agree! We also reattached an updated ESPN +EV analysis. Note that we included a double star (**) below where there was overlap between ESPN and the Value Pick(s)! - OSU v. ND - OSU Moneyline / ND Spread**
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CFP - Value Pick - National Championship
CFP - ESPN +EV Play - National Championship
Hi BettrNation family! It is hard to believe that the National Championship is finally here! Please see below and attached for the CFB ESPN +EV play for the Natty. Let us know if you agree with ESPN Analytics! - ND v. OSU - ND Spread or Moneyline - EV: 74%
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CFP - ESPN +EV Play - National Championship
CFP - Value Picks (1.9.25)
Hi BettrNation family! For the CFP semifinals, we surveyed the market and there appears to be a consensus (i.e., >75% alignment) on the below opportunities. Let us know if you agree! Note that, for the ND-Penn State game, most experts/platforms seem split on that contest, although there appears to be a slight majority of the experts leaning toward Notre Dame while a considerable number of the analytics-driven platforms (e.g., Oddstrader, etc.) have the Penn State moneyline or spread as the desirable play. For your ease of reference, we also reattached the ESPN +EV Plays for these games! Please note that the double star (**) below indicates an overlap between ESPN and the consensus assessment among experts/platforms. - ND v. Penn State - Over 45 - Ohio State v. Texas - Texas Spread**
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CFP - Value Picks (1.9.25)
CFP - ESPN +EV Plays (Semifinals)
Hi BettrNation family! Please see attached for the CFB ESPN +EV plays for this week's CFP games. We also flagged the best opportunities (based on ESPN) for you below. Let us know if you agree! - Penn State v. Notre Dame - Notre Dame Moneyline or Spread (EV: 7%) - Texas v. Ohio State - Texas Spread or Moneyline (EV: 47%) As a reminder, the teams highlighted in green in the attached file are the +EV opportunities based on ESPN Analytics. The upshot of this insight is that, based on ESPN's assessment, these opportunities are currently mispriced in the market. Given the relationship between moneyline bets and spread bets, a mispriced moneyline bet can often mean that the spread line is also mispriced. Check out our Training Camp for more details on this point!
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CFP - ESPN +EV Plays (Semifinals)
CFP - ND v. UGA (1.2.25)
Hi BettrNation family! Given the postponement of the ND-UGA game, we wanted to share the updated ESPN Analytics assessment (which includes the latest market odds/lines). See attached. We also surveyed the market again and, while there still isn't a clear consensus among experts/platforms (i.e., >75% alignment), most experts/platforms seem to be leaning toward ND, which is consistent with the ESPN Analytics assessment.
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CFP - ND v. UGA (1.2.25)
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