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MARKET PULSE — 12/15/25
Markets are starting the final full week of trading in 2025 with mixed sentiment but constructive breadth. Major U.S. stock futures are modestly higher this morning after last week’s rotation out of heavily weighted tech names and into broader market participation. Futures for the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq are all in positive territory — a sign that market participants are positioning ahead of a packed economic calendar. Here are the key themes we are watching: 🔹 Sector Rotation & Leadership: The Dow and broader indexes are showing resilience while tech and AI-related stocks continue to face headwinds following recent earnings and sentiment disruptions. This dynamic is creating a classic rotation environment, where value and cyclicals are gaining relative strength. 🔹 Macro Data on the Horizon: This week brings a slate of important U.S. reports — including jobs, inflation, and retail sales — that could significantly influence market positioning and the rate outlook. These data points will be focal for risk assets and interest-rate forecasts. 🔹 Safe Havens & Commodities: Gold and silver are rallying with yields softer and the dollar subdued — a typical response in uncertain environments and a reminder that non-correlated assets can matter even in equity-friendly periods. 🔹 Global Sentiment: International markets are largely cautious, with Asian equities facing pressure following global sell-offs and mixed economic signals abroad, underscoring the interconnected risk environment.
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📉 Market Impact Update — Oracle’s Report Is Roiling Tech Sentiment
📉 Market Impact Update — Oracle’s Report Is Roiling Tech Sentiment 📍 Oracle stock is sharply lower today after its quarterly results and forecasts disappointed investors, reigniting skepticism around AI spending and profitability. Despite a solid earnings beat on EPS, revenue fell short of expectations and Oracle guided toward significantly higher capital expenditures — especially in data centers and AI infrastructure — which spooked the market. This heavy AI spending, combined with lingering debt concerns, pressured the stock down more than 10–15% in early trading. Why this matters for the broader market: • Tech weakness is bleeding into broader indices — the Nasdaq and S&P 500 have opened softer as traders reassess risk in AI-linked names. • Nasdaq futures, S&P futures, and Bitcoin are all under pressure alongside the selloff in Oracle and related tech titles. • Investor sentiment shifted from post-Fed relief to caution as market participants wrestle with growth vs. cost concerns in the AI sector. 🧠 Key Takeaways for Traders • Immediate risk-on moves have paused — tech leadership is shaky, and breakouts need extra confirmation. • Rotation into non-tech and defensive names may begin as traders de-risk heavily weighted AI/tech positions. • Use structure, not news headlines, for entries — look for RVOL confirmation and clean technical setups before adding or initiating new positions. This is exactly the type of market structure shift where prepared swing traders with clear rules can find opportunity, while others chase noise. Stay tactical and keep risk defined.
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Dec 11 Market Pulse 🔔
Tech Weakness, 📈 Rotation, & Post-Fed Volatility — Dec 11 Pulse Morning AlphaEdge — Today’s session is all about tech pressure. Oracle’s big miss is spilling into AI names, and it’s pulling the Nasdaq down early. Meanwhile, the Dow looks steadier as capital rotates into non-tech sectors. 🔎 What I’m Watching: - Which leaders hold the 20EMA versus breaking it - RVOL spikes in non-tech — possible rotation plays - Semiconductor names for potential overreaction trades - Whether $SPX can maintain trend despite Nasdaq weakness 🎯 AlphaEdge Focus Today: Use structure, not emotion. Tech is shaky, but setups still exist — just in different places. Drop your charts and setups below.
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📉📈 Fed Cut #3 — What It Means for Our Swings
The Fed just cut rates 25 bps to 3.50–3.75%, the third cut this year, and signaled only one more cut in 2026 before likely pausing. Market reaction (so far): - Dow: +1.3% - S&P 500: +0.8%, flirting with new all-time highs - Nasdaq: +0.5% How I’m reading this as a swing trader: - Trend: Still clearly UP — long bias is valid. - Risk: With indexes this high after 3 cuts, risk is less “collapse” and more sharp 3–5% air pockets if something disappoints. - Focus: Leaders above 20 EMA & 50 SMA RVOL ≥ 2 after the Fed dust settles Clean chart structure > chasing headlines Over the next few sessions I’ll be: - Posting watchlists of names holding trend the best - Breaking down any post-Fed overreactions - Sharing how I’d scale in/out of swing positions in this cut-and-pause environment 👇 Drop tickers you’re watching into the comments and how you’re thinking about them post-Fed.
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🔔 Fed Decision Day — What We’re Watching & How You Can Trade It
Today’s the big one — the Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 bps, but the real story will be what they say about 2026. That ambiguity could produce strong swings, so we’re in a justify-or-exit environment. Here’s where I’m watching: - Tech / growth / AI-related stocks — rate cuts = cheap money → re-risking could favor momentum setups. - Industrials / infra names tied to AI/data centers — with some popping early, keep watch for continuation. - Volatility names & catalyst plays — high-risk/high-reward entries might show up if the Fed disappoints. Plan: Risk small, size smart, use structure (RVOL, support, defined stops). If you’re ready to sharpen your process — or just want to see real-time setups — come through. First 20 traders get in FREE. https://www.linkedin.com/company/alphaedgetraders/
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🔔 Fed Decision Day — What We’re Watching & How You Can Trade It
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