28d • General discussion
7 Agencies Where Your Pipeline May Be at Risk
Yesterday was the good news. Today is the reality check.
These agencies are facing significant budget cuts. If a large portion of your pipeline sits here, this isn’t cause for panic, but it is cause for planning.
SBA: -67% ($329 million)
SCORE eliminated. Community Navigator eliminated. Entrepreneurial development programs cut. Admin fee imposed on lenders. If you’re an SBA-centric contractor, this is the most dramatic single-agency shift in the entire budget.
EPA: -52% ($4.2 billion)
Environmental justice programs eliminated entirely. State Revolving Funds cut by $2.5 billion. Categorical grants cut by over $1 billion. DERA grants eliminated. The permitting mission remains funded, but grant-heavy contractors face real exposure.
State and International Programs: -30% ($35.6 billion)
USAID programming ended. PEPFAR restructured into bilateral compacts. Food for Peace (Title II) eliminated. National Endowment for Democracy eliminated. UN funding cut $2.7 billion. International development contractors face the largest structural shift in a generation.
Labor: -26% ($9.9 billion)
Job Corps eliminated ($1.6 billion). OFCCP effectively defunded. SCSEP eliminated. OSHA training grants cut. Career and Technical Education transferred to DOL from Education. The compliance landscape is fundamentally shifting, your proposal language around hiring and workforce requirements needs to adjust.
NASA: -23% ($18.8 billion)
Over 40 science missions terminated, including Mars Sample Return. ISS funding reduced ahead of 2030 deorbit. STEM engagement cut. SLS and Orion transitioning to commercial replacements. Artemis Moon landing still fully funded at $8.5 billion. Performance-driven and commercial-focused awards are the direction.
HUD: -13% ($73.5 billion)
CDBG eliminated ($3.3 billion). HOME Investment Partnerships eliminated ($1.3 billion). HOPWA eliminated. Continuum of Care replaced by Emergency Solutions Grants. PRO Housing eliminated. Fair Housing Initiatives Program eliminated.
HHS: -12.5% ($111.1 billion)
NIH cut by $5 billion with three centers eliminated. LIHEAP eliminated ($4 billion). Refugee resettlement cut $768 million. Major reorganization into Administration for a Healthy America (AHA). Behavioral health grants consolidated into a single $4.1 billion block grant.
❓Here’s the question that matters: What percentage of your current pipeline sits in agencies facing cuts of 20% or more?
Under 20% — you’re diversified, focus on growth-agency expansion
20-40% — moderate exposure, start mapping adjacencies now
40-60% — high exposure, you need a pivot plan within 90 days
60%+ — business continuity risk, let’s talk
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7 Agencies Where Your Pipeline May Be at Risk
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