Forbes Article: 10 AI Predictions For 2025

I skimmed this, and most of them sound plausible. I think they are all likely if you move to a 3 year time horizon. I've copied the predictions word for word i.e. I'm didn't inject politics into the article.

Meta will begin charging for use of its Llama models.
Scaling laws will be discovered and exploited in areas beyond text—in particular, in robotics and biology.
Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a messy falling-out. This will have meaningful consequences for the world of AI.
Web agents will go mainstream, becoming the next major killer application in consumer AI.
Multiple serious efforts to put AI data centers in space will take shape.
An AI system will pass the “Turing test for speech.”
Major progress will be made on building AI systems that can themselves autonomously build better AI systems.
OpenAI, Anthropic and other frontier labs will begin “moving up the stack,” increasingly shifting their strategic focus to building applications.
As Klarna prepares for a 2025 IPO, the company’s claims about its use of AI will come under scrutiny and prove to be wildly overstated.
The first real AI safety incident will occur.

My thoughts:

I don't care about most of these. Such as 5, 6, and 8. My reaction to those is "Well duh. So what?" I do like that the author put in 10 though. I believe there is a 100% chance of that happening at some point in the future, and the only real questions are "When will it happen?" and "How bad will it be?".

I think that 4 and 7 go hand in hand. I believe that agentic systems are necessary for building systems that can build other systems.

The article is behind a paywall but you can read a few articles a month for free.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/robtoews/2024/12/22/10-ai-predictions-for-2025/

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