J. Jackson vs ATL 21/12/24
J.Jackson Jr. 22.5 Over -Jackson will have absolute freedom in his team’s offense tonight, taking into account the fact that Morant will NOT play for the Grizzlies this evening, so JJJ will undoubtedly be the #1 OFFENSIVE option in Memphis’s attack. Jackson will almost certainly get around 30-32 minutes tonight, but for certainty’s sake, I filtered Jackson’s games WITHOUT Morant and with 25+ minutes on the court – JJJ went over this line in 5 of his last 7 games, with the only 2 unders coming against Denver, where he scored 20 and 19 points, shooting 7/16 and 7/17 from the field. This will be an ideal MUP for JJJ, given that the Hawks are one of the worst defenses in the entire league, plus they play at the #3 FASTEST PACE in the entire league, while Memphis is ranked as the #1 FASTEST team in the entire league, so I expect a game with a huge number of points, which is just another plus for this bet. The Hawks essentially defend everything 1vs1 without much doubling, so I think JJJ will manage to exploit this MUP vs JJ, especially against the reserves due to his specific minutes. If we look at players with similar characteristics to JJJ vs ATL, we’ll see the following numbers: Wemby 42, Giannis 32, KAT 19, MPJ 26 (because of the situation), Giannis 31…