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1 contribution to Rental Property Playbook
Pessimistic question
I know I need to take time to subscribe to the monthly access and talk to Brian, I just haven’t had time. But I while combing through this forum the last few weeks, my mind can’t help but wander. I love that real estate is a defense against inflation, that mindset saved my folks when My dad passed. His real estate holding is the only thing that kept us afloat. But my problem is that I was also buying my first house during the ‘08 (primary house) crash. So my long winded question is how do protect ourselves from deflation? I can’t get my head around any asset being both inflation and deflation resistant. I get that if you own enough you can hopefully ride out the vacancies, and optimistic take is pick up discounted additional properties. But my concern is being able to float a devalued/over leveraged property and rental market saturation. I know there is no “safe” investment. Just wondering what strategies there are to be prepared for a crash.
2 likes • Jul 27
@Ike Hobbs If you actually look at the data, we’re currently trending toward deflation. Boom-and-bust cycles are a feature of the system, and after long periods of inflation, deflation often follows. The Federal Reserve has maintained a pretty tight monetary policy since COVID and hasn’t printed any meaningful amount of money, even with a softening labor market. They say they’re data-dependent, but their actions don’t always reflect that. If you look at Truflation, we’ve been in a deflationary trend for quite a while. Most people disagree because they’re looking at grocery prices, but inflation measures the rate of change in prices, not whether prices are still high. Another issue is that the CPI the Fed relies on includes shelter, which is a lagging indicator. If you replace that with a real-time housing metric, the picture looks very different. As for the original question, I’d approach it like any other investment: don’t go all in, keep cash reserves, and remember that time in the market beats timing the market. The people who spend years waiting for the perfect crash often end up sitting on the sidelines while missing some of the biggest opportunities.
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Michael Anthony
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@michael-rueda-5886
Just your average firefighter looking for ways to retire early

Active 10m ago
Joined Feb 16, 2026
Visalia, Ca
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