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Profit NBA Analysis

319 members • $17/m

60 contributions to Profit NBA Analysis
B. Coulibaly vs CHA 19/12/24
B. Coulibaly 13.5 Over I don’t think the line will be adjusted because he’s still flying under the radar, but I planned to play it right after the Boston game. It’s clear he’s been given a much bigger offensive role in recent matches, and he’s making good use of it. The coach even praised his current style of play and said he’ll encourage him to keep it up. Realistically, the Wizards need to lean on their younger players and give them more chances. They’ll likely try to trade Poole and ValančiÅ«nas soon, so there’s no point in forcing them, as we already know what they can do. They won’t build the franchise around those guys, and they’re available in potential trades, which might happen even today. Regarding Coulibaly, it’s clear he has potential, but it needs to be turned into quality, and that requires playing time and shots. He’s been getting that in the last three games. Against Memphis, in 28 minutes, he took 13 shots and scored 17 points. Against the Cavs, he got 40 minutes and 18 shots, scoring 27 points. Against Boston in the last game, he took 20 shots for 19 points. Right after that game, the Wizards’ coach complained that the refs weren’t giving him calls, even though he often attacked the rim, and said that needs to change. He also said Coulibaly would continue playing this way and that he expects even better performances from him. To me, that signals that they’re counting on him for the future and that his offensive role will grow, so I think this line will keep rising game by game. Of course, he’s not a fully developed player yet, and he could have a terrible shooting night, but I’m sure he’ll have the volume and that plenty of plays will be drawn up for him. Their opponent is Charlotte, which is a suitable matchup. The Hornets are known for putting strong pressure on ball-handlers, which I think will make things harder for Poole, another plus for this pick. The Hornets are also statistically below league average at defending his position, which works in our favor. In my opinion, it’s a bet worth taking, and we’ll see what happens on the floor. Good luck.
0 likes • Dec '24
Thoughts on Brogdon?
L. Doncic v OKC 10/12/24
šŸ€Luka Doncic = 16.5+ Over Rebounds+Assists (Team - Dallas Mavericks) He’s only missed this line 2 times against OKC in his career averaging 20.6 RA. He’s now facing a Thunder defense that is allowing the most rebounds to guards this season and the most rebounds in the league overall. Luka is also heavily favored to go over his assist line of 7.5 coming off back to back games where he got 10 and 11 assists with 32 potential assists in that span, he has definitely been looking to contribute as of recently. I know he hasn’t been consistent on his RA line but coming off a game where he got 24, I don’t see how he doesn’t clear this again in a competitive matchup. OKC does pretty well in defending the paint so I’m expecting Luka to have to dish it out frequently to his shooters as well. For the reason that he is favored to go over both lines on all books, I’m liking the upside of his RA line instead. Playing time shouldn’t be an issue for Luka of course it being the NBA Cup Quarter Finals they need him to show out especially with Washington currently questionable and we don’t know if he will be back 100%.
0 likes • Dec '24
Lucky. My book has this at 15.5
TOR @ NYK MON 09DEC25
Jalen Brunson 25+ Points @ 1.80 (-125) āŒ Ready? Here’s my breakdown: The New York Knicks (NYK) bring a distinct advantage into this matchup, particularly in scoring efficiency and overall team dynamics. NYK averages 118.0 points per game (#6), surpassing the league average of 112.5 points per game (#16). Their offensive flow and efficient ball distribution enhance their ability to exploit mismatches, creating consistent scoring opportunities. This aligns perfectly with the Toronto Raptors’ (TOR) defensive struggles, as TOR allows opponents to score 117.4 points per game (#25), indicating vulnerability against high-scoring teams. Additionally, TOR concedes 25.7 assists per game (#19), highlighting challenges in disrupting effective ball movement and playmaking. NYK excels in Effective Field Goal Percentage (58.3%, #2) and Free Throw Percentage (82.2%, #1), demonstrating their scoring efficiency and ability to capitalise on free-throw opportunities. Toronto’s high personal fouling rate (22.5 personal fouls per game, #30) exacerbates this issue, often putting opponents on the line and providing additional scoring opportunities. Brunson, with his ability to draw fouls and convert free throws, is perfectly positioned to exploit this dynamic. While NYK’s Three-Point Percentage (39.8%, #2) is an offensive strength, TOR’s Opponent Three-Point Percentage (35.0%, #8) reflects a relatively strong perimeter defense. However, it’s important to note that TOR allows 14.1 Opponent 3PM per game (#23), indicating they concede a high volume of threes despite contesting them effectively. This nuanced dynamic could still favour NYK’s sharp shooters while also opening up opportunities for inside-out play. Pace also plays a significant role in this game. NYK’s controlled pace (97.2 possessions per game, #26) facilitates deliberate and efficient offensive setups, maximising high-quality possessions for scorers like Brunson. Conversely, Toronto’s faster pace (100.4, #23) creates opportunities for transition play, where NYK can exploit TOR’s defensive lapses, particularly against skilled playmakers and efficient scorers.
1 like • Dec '24
@Alan T. I'm seeing some people taking his points over. Although he is somewhat off(even for me personally), but his splits indicate better performance at home. 27.7 PTS, 39 3P%, and his positive line in the last 5 games. Also because of playing against his former team, which more or less, we can expect players to perform somewhat well. But honestly, against a team with Hart, Bridges, and OG, that alone is gonna deter me from betting on Barrett.
S. Barnes v NYK 9/12/24
šŸ€Scottie Barnes (Toronto) 16.5+ over rebounds and assists 🫵1.80 odd 🫵2u stake Toronto will host NYK! This would be much better bet if we would be sure that Toronto can be even full game! But we all know how much potential NYK has in offense with Towns,Bridges,OG, Hart and Brunson! However, since injury, Barnes produce 17 potential assists and 14.8 potential rebounds per game, which is insane! NYK was one the teams in last season, which were the best im defense, but it is not the same this year, as their pace is much higher because of Towns! However, NYK allows 5.04rbd and 8.75ass to all PGs this season! They allow 48rbd per game and 25.7ass, which is enough to take this bet! Barnes is over this line 6 out of last 8 games! He had 6-14rbd per game and 7-14ass! We could saw in last matches, that NYK allowed big RAs to opposite PGs: Cade 25, Micic 13(1rbd only),Murray 13 (blowout), Irving 13! There is not even a one of PGs who had such a big rbd per game as Barnes have! Projected to 9.6rbd and 8.3ass tonight, is more than enough for me! Barnes is playing in both units, where we can expect Toronto to attack the rim when Towns is not there. Free ass all over the place!
0 likes • Dec '24
Trying to make a SGP. You think Barnes' over for AST and REB(7.5 for both) seperately work as well?
??
Guys everyone is quiet, did something happened? šŸ˜… We have only one game tomorrow then couple of days rest
1 like • Dec '24
Still around bro. Sorry if I have been much quiet though as I have just been busy. For the majority of people, I really think everyone's anticipating your picks which is why a lot are lurkers.
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Justin Reyes
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@justin-reyes-9348
Heya!

Active 285d ago
Joined Nov 24, 2024