Should I make this a 2026 weekly newsletter?
π¨ The Money Memo (working title) Edition: Week Ending Dec 17, 2025 Vibe: Markets are spicy, but your plan should be boring. β
The 60-Second Market Snapshot Stocks (risk-on, but with a weird limp): β’ SPY (S&P 500 ETF): ~$673.90 β’ QQQ (Nasdaq 100 ETF): ~$603.75 β’ DIA (Dow ETF): ~$481.02 β’ IWM (Small caps): ~$248.56 Crypto (still acting like crypto): β’ Bitcoin: ~$86,569 β’ Ethereum: ~$2,845.57 π€ Kyleβs read: Weβre not in βeverything is brokenβ modeβ¦ weβre in βstop paying any price for the shiny AI stuffβ mode. βΈ» β
What Mattered Last Week (and why it moved price) A) AI stocks stopped getting a free pass. Markets have been sliding for multiple sessions largely because big AI names have been taking heatβbubble talk, capex worries, and βhow soon is the payoff?β B) Data-center reality check = βshow me the money.β Reuters flagged a big snag around an Oracle-linked data center financing situation, which poured gasoline on the βAI spending is getting expensiveβ narrative. C) Crypto: year-end vibes + macro nerves. BTC has been drifting lower in cautious trade. And markets are eyeing big expirations (βtriple witchingβ + options expiries) as potential volatility fuel. β
The Week Ahead: Your βDonβt Get Surprisedβ Calendar The big one: November CPI drops Thursday, Dec 18 (delayed schedule). Translation: liquidity is thinner into the holidays, so a βnormalβ inflation print can still create an abnormal move. π§ Kyleβs playbook (simple): - If CPI surprises hot β yields up, growth/AI could feel it first. - If CPI surprises cool β risk assets breathe, but watch for βone good print doesnβt fix everythingβ whiplash. β
Setups & Watchlist (how Iβm thinking, not what you βmustβ do) Theme 1: βAI β automatic wins.β This isnβt anti-AI. Itβs pro-price. When the crowd gets emotional, I get selective. Theme 2: Small caps = sneaky tell. IWM matters because it hints at risk appetite beyond the megacaps. If small caps canβt hold bids, the βbroad rallyβ story gets weaker.