🏀Josh Giddey (Chicago) 25.5+ over points,rebounds and assists Perfect matchup for Giddey, which coming from Triple-double performance! Charrlote will play at home and as we all know Charlotte is defending best guards really good! Giddey wont be the man to defend, but White and LaVine will be! Even Vucevic will have hard matchup under the rim vs Mark Williams, which is back on regular minutes now! Charlotte allowe 40.3PRA per game to starting ball handlers, which is more than enough for us! Giddey is over this line in all of last 4 games, where he had 48,28,41 and 21PRA! He is all around player, and he avrg 6.4rbd and 7.0ass per game! Projected to 13.3pts, 7.7 rbd and 7.3ass , which give us 28.3PRA and great 8% edge on prop!

A. Sengun 21.5 Under Miami has tightened up its defense and is finally looking like last year’s team, the one that limited pretty much every opponent’s #1 offensive option. I’m hoping for a repeat of that scenario tonight against Houston. Overall, we can expect a matchup of two extremely strong defenses, so I’m anticipating fewer possessions and fewer points, which is our first benefit here. Miami allows the 8th-fewest points to PnR Roll-Men in the entire league, the 3rd-fewest free throws per game, and the 13th-fewest points in the paint. These three areas account for about half (50%) of Sengun’s scoring. On top of that, I expect Miami to gear its entire defense toward stopping Sengun. I believe we’ll see a lot of zone defense, which is typically problematic for centers who want the ball in their hands. Also, I think we’ll see plenty of help defense on Sengun in the low post. Plus, he’s facing Bam for practically the whole game, which I think makes this a really good bet. Sengun has stayed under this line in 11 of his last 15 games against teams ranked in the top 13 for defensive rating. We’ve already seen Spolstra handle dominant opposing centers this season—he held Embiid to 11 points, Sabonis to 15, and Davis to 8. I think he’ll manage to keep Sengun under 20 as well. Brooks and Eason are questionable, and I believe both might play, which would further increase the value of our bet tonight.

N. Jovic 1.5 Ass Over Here, the odds clearly indicate that Jović is closer to the under at this line since the under is priced at 1.4, but I see value on the over and believe the chances for this bet are at least 50/50. Given that we’re looking at odds of 2.65, we definitely have to take it, and here are a few reasons why I think so. First, at this line in his last three games, he’s had 2 easy overs—4 assists against Brooklyn, and 5 against a tough, defensively strong Orlando team. In the last game against Atlanta, he finished with just 1 assist, but even there he had 4 potential assists, which is perfectly acceptable for this line and these odds. Over the last three games, he’s averaging 5 potential assists, which to me is enough to clear this line. His bigger role in organizing the offense coincided with Drew Smith’s injury (he tore his Achilles and is out for the season). Also, because Butler is out of the starting lineup, Jaquez stepped in—he can create, so in the second unit, the only players capable of creating are Rozier (who only looks to score) and Jović. For his height, Jović handles the ball very well and has excellent court vision. In the last three games, he’s averaged 24 minutes, and I hope he gets similar minutes tonight, but with Spoelstra, that can vary from 20 to 30 minutes depending on his assessment. Regarding Houston, they’re one of the better defensive teams in the league and allow the second-fewest assists to opposing teams, but I actually think that works in favor of this pick. They usually put a lot of pressure on primary ball handlers, so secondary creators often benefit, and Jović is one of those—something similar to Orlando, who’s #1 in fewest assists allowed, yet Jović still managed to pick up 5 and ended up leading the team in that department. I should also mention one game from last season, since they haven’t played Houston yet this season: Jović played 21 minutes against them and collected 6 assists, which was his highest assist total of the season. This year, he’s also had one game with 6 assists, against Charlotte. Clearly, Jović can surpass this line, and I’m hoping his teammates are in a good shooting mood. Good luck.

3/6 today. Kat vs WAS 24.5 over ✅️ D. Lillard vs CHI 7.5 ass over ✅️ McBride vs WAS 10.5 PR over ❌️ (3) D. Fox vs LAL 25.5 over ✅️ M. Beasley vs DEN 14.5 over ❌️ (14) B. Beal vs GSW 3.5 ass over ❌️ (2)

M.Beasley 14.5 Over “One of those under-the-radar picks, but I think there’s huge value here. Beasley has gone over this line in his last 5/5 games, and 7 of his last 8 overall. The only time he stayed under was against Boston, which is considered one of the best spot-up defenses in the entire league. Unlike Boston, Denver is considered one of the WORST spot-up defenses in the entire league. They allow the 4th-most points from spot-up situations, the 10th-most points in transition, and the 5th-most points from off-screen situations. From those three segments, Beasley gets 73% of his points. Additionally, Denver allows the 7th-most points from above the break, where Beasley scores 54% of his points, making this a very strong bet. I expect Denver to double-team Cunningham after their embarrassing showing vs. Cleveland, so I anticipate more open looks for spot-up shooters. I believe this line is slightly lower than it should be, considering Beasley has gone over it in 17 of his last 22 games. There’s volume, the matchup is favorable, and I’m hoping he can exploit it properly.