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NBA Betting Analysis

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Chelzzz's Trading Corner

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21 contributions to NBA Betting Analysis
Please read - Analysis part1
This is a list of all loses till now, would be a great help for me if someone could do 2 things: 1. Someone to write in the comment for mentioned player played against which team (ie Sengun v OKC on specific date) 2. Someone to write in the comment If mentioned player was injured/ejected/smt else happened which prevented him of normal expectations. This will be much beneficial for the overall analysis so far. List: (23/11/24) B. Portis 12.5 PTS Over (11) ❌️ LOSS (24)/11/24) J. Holiday v MIN 19.5 PRA Over (16) ❌️ LOSS D. Fox v NET 28.5 Under (31) ❌️ LOSS K. Porter v PHI 11.5 Over (11) ❌️ LOSS G. Yabusele v LAC 18.5 PRA Over (12) ❌️ LOSS (25/11/24) Jerami Grant – Over 14.5 points v MEM ❌️ LOSS (11) (26/11/24) N. Vucevic v WAS – Over 31.5 PR ❌️ LOSS (31) N. Vucevic v WAS – Over 20.5 Pts ❌️ LOSS (19) A. Davis v PHX – Over 27.5 Points ❌️ LOSS (25) T. Herro v MIL – Over 20.5 Points ❌️ LOSS (18) B. Coulibaly v CHI – 22.5 Over PRA ❌️ LOSS(16) (27/11/24) M. McBride Over 8.5 Points ❌ LOSS (5) J. Jackson Jr. Over 20.5 Points ❌ (12) Tim Hardaway Jr = 4.5- Under Rebounds+Assists ❌ (7) Russell Westbrook (Denver) 21.5+ over points,rebounds and assists ❌ (16) Jakob Poeltl (Toronto) 26.5+ over points and rebounds ❌ (11) (29/11/24) I. Zubac: Under 14.5 points ❌️ (16) R. Gobert: Over 20.5 PR (19) ❌️ L. James: Over 21.5 Points ❌️ (12) L. James 10+ Rebs (8) J. Randle 31.5 over PRA (25) ❌️ J. McDaniels 12.5 Under Pts+Ass ❌️ (19) (30/11/24) B. Portis Over 12.5 Points ❌️ (9) (01/12/24) I. Zubac Over 15.5 Points ❌️ (6) I. Zubac Over 29.5 PRA ❌️ (19) F. VanVleet Over 9.5 Rebounds + Assists ❌️ (5) C. Boucher Under 7.5 Points ❌️ (8) (02/12/24) 6. Anthony Davis – 25.5 Over ❌️ (12) 7. Bogdan Bogdanovic – 12.5 Over ❌️ (8) (03/12/24) Jaren Jackson Jr. - Over 26.5 PRA ❌️ (25) Isaiah Hartenstein - Over 24.5 Points + Rebounds ❌️ (9) PJ Washington - Under 15.5 Points + Assists ❌️ (25) Kevin Durant - Over 24.5 Points ❌️ (13 Injury)
1 like • Dec '24
According to CHATGPT 23/11/24 • B. Portis: Played against OKC, 12.5 PTS Over ❌ (11). [No major incident noted.] 24/11/24 • J. Holiday v MIN: 19.5 PRA Over ❌ (16). [No injury or ejection noted.] • D. Fox v NET: 28.5 Under ❌ (31). [Exceeded expectations.] • K. Porter v PHI: 11.5 Over ❌ (11). [Barely missed.] • G. Yabusele v LAC: 18.5 PRA Over ❌ (12). [No major incident noted.] 25/11/24 • Jerami Grant v MEM: Over 14.5 points ❌ (11). [No significant issues noted.] 26/11/24 • Multiple misses (e.g., N. Vucevic, A. Davis). All underperformed but no reported injuries or significant events. 27/11/24 • M. McBride Over 8.5 Points ❌ (5). • J. Jackson Jr. Over 20.5 Points ❌ (12). • R. Westbrook (DEN): PRA 21.5+ Over ❌ (16). [No incidents but notable underperformance.] 29/11/24 • L. James: Over 21.5 Points ❌ (12). Also missed 10+ Rebs ❌ (8). [Below-par game.] 30/11/24 • B. Portis: Over 12.5 Points ❌ (9). [Unremarkable performance.] 01/12/24 • K. Durant Over 24.5 Points ❌ (13). [Injury noted.] 02/12/24 • A. Davis Over 25.5 ❌ (12). [Underperformed again.] • Bogdanovic Over 12.5 ❌ (8). 09/12/24 • S. Barnes: 16.5+ Over rebounds/assists ❌ (8). [Injury noted.] 13/12/24 • J. Embiid Over 28.5 points ❌ (12). [Injury noted.] • J. Harden Over 13.5 rebounds+assists ❌ (11). [No major incidents reported.] 19/12/24 • J. Clarkson Over 14.5 Points ❌ (3). [Ejected.] 21/12/24 • Multiple misses (e.g., J. Jackson Jr., T. Jones). No significant incidents noted. 22/12/24 • D. Sabonis: 25.5 Over points+assists ❌ (21). [No major issue noted.] 03/12/24 • Jaren Jackson Jr. - Over 26.5 PRA ❌ (25). [Just shy of the line; no injury noted.] • Isaiah Hartenstein - Over 24.5 Points + Rebounds ❌ (9). [Significantly underperformed.] • PJ Washington - Under 15.5 Points + Assists ❌ (25). [Exceeded expectations.] • Kevin Durant - Over 24.5 Points ❌ (13). [Injury noted.] 04/12/24 • Jimmy Butler - Over 19.5 ❌ (17). [Underperformed, but no injury reported.]
Thoughts?
Nick Richard’s DD? What you guys thinking?
C. Paul vs MIN 15/12/24
C.Paul 8.5 Points Over Chris Paul’s last game ended abruptly due to an early ejection, so he’ll likely be extra motivated tonight. The matchup suits him since Minnesota’s Rudy Gobert tends to drop on pick-and-rolls, leaving Paul space in the mid-range—an area where the veteran point guard thrives. The Timberwolves’ defense is not particularly strong at defending shots from that zone, and they also allow a decent number of points to pick-and-roll ball-handlers. With the Spurs missing key players like Keldon Johnson and Tre Jones, Paul should have more offensive opportunities. This line is set quite low considering that he’s gone over it in 17 of his last 23 games this season. He dropped 15 points in their previous encounter, and if all goes as expected, reaching 9 or more tonight should be very achievable. Good luck.
0 likes • Dec '24
I had him at 3.5 rebounds & he got it but fk man idk what happen to him
0 likes • Dec '24
@Stevan S. let’s just say mans played 30 mins and got 0points
James vs MEM 15/12/24
🏀Lebron James (LA Lakers) 23.5+ over points in match 🫵1.83 odd 🫵2u stake LeBron James has attempted 20.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James lands in the 78th percentile for 3-pointers converted while on his home court, tallying 2.0 per game this year. LeBron James has played 35.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 93rd percentile. The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to boost plays for the Los Angeles Lakers. Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James ranks in the 91st percentile for drawing fouls, totaling an enormous 4.9 foul shot attempts per game while playing at home this year. Lebron avrg ONLY 23ppg this season and believe it or not, this is the worst season of his carrer, he was never under 25.0ppg in his whole carrer :) WHAT AN ANIMAL TO BE HONEST! However, he shots 51.2%FG at home court and avrg 23.1 ppg. He played twice vs Memphis this season and had 35 and 39 pts! In last season he had 37,23,32 and 16(big blowout, 23mins on court)! Memphis allow 23.81ppg to his position which is 8th worst in league and they allow 2.85 3pt made per game, thats more than enough for us! We all know that Memphis cant defend rim, and if they will box-out Davis, we have much more room for Lebron to attack the rim. However, Lebron plays in both units, so we can expect him to dominate in second one. He is just too strong for JJJ on def perimeter, so expect him to do his job tonight. I dont see any potential of blowout here! Projected to 25.3pts!
0 likes • Dec '24
@Stevan S. 100%
1 like • Dec '24
Glad I played this under, was tripping the whole time
Hit or miss?
Throwing this out there… idk hit or miss. My last night parlay got 5/6, one hiccup cost me a nice payout but todays another day! Let me know what you guys think.
Hit or miss?
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