14d • 🗣️ General discussion
👀 TFZ WATCHLIST | Wednesday, August 5, 2026
🌎 Market Context
* SPY and QQQ are holding near record territory after another technology-led rally.
* Futures remain constructive, but VIX at 16.65 signals caution, not an automatic risk-on session.
* NVDA is showing relative strength following reports that SpaceX plans to prioritize Nvidia chips.
* AMD is under heavy post-earnings pressure despite strong revenue and data-center growth.
* Major volatility windows today include ADP Employment at 8:15 AM, Services PMI at 9:45 AM and ISM Services at 10:00 AM ET.
* Let the first 15-minute candle establish direction. Use the 5-minute and 2-minute charts for confirmation.
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📊 VIX Game Plan
Current VIX: 16.65
🟢 Under 16 = Buyers In Control
🟡 16–18 = Caution
🔴 Above 18 = Sellers In Control
VIX is currently in the caution zone. Watch whether it loses 16 or pushes toward 17–18 after the economic reports.
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🟢 CALL WATCHLIST
NVDA – $215.73
CALLS
* Reclaim: 216.00
* Targets: 218.00 → 220.00 → 223.00
PUTS
* Lose: 213.50
* Targets: 211.50 → 209.00 → 206.50
Game Plan
NVDA has the strongest semiconductor catalyst this morning. Holding above 216 with volume could continue the premarket momentum. Avoid chasing an extended opening candle.
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META – $595.40
CALLS
* Reclaim: 596.00
* Targets: 600.00 → 605.00 → 610.00
PUTS
* Lose: 592.00
* Targets: 588.00 → 584.00 → 580.00
Game Plan
META is showing strong relative strength. A confirmed hold above 596 favors a push through the psychological $600 level.
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MSFT – $495.74
CALLS
* Reclaim: 496.00
* Targets: 500.00 → 504.00 → 508.00
PUTS
* Lose: 492.50
* Targets: 489.00 → 485.00 → 481.00
Game Plan
MSFT remains one of the cleaner large-cap technology names. Watch for buyers to defend 495 and reclaim 496 with volume.
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GOOGL – $381.80
CALLS
* Reclaim: 382.00
* Targets: 385.00 → 388.00 → 392.00
PUTS
* Lose: 379.00
* Targets: 376.00 → 373.00 → 370.00
Game Plan
GOOGL is holding constructive premarket momentum. Above 382 favors continuation, but failure beneath 379 could trigger profit-taking.
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AMZN – $279.35
CALLS
* Reclaim: 280.00
* Targets: 283.00 → 286.00 → 290.00
PUTS
* Lose: 277.00
* Targets: 274.00 → 271.00 → 268.00
Game Plan
Watch the reaction around the major $280 level. A clean break, retest and hold would provide better confirmation than buying the first push.
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🔴 PUT WATCHLIST
AMD – $475.02
CALLS
* Reclaim: 480.00
* Targets: 487.50 → 495.00 → 505.00
PUTS
* Lose: 472.00
* Targets: 465.00 → 457.50 → 450.00
Game Plan
AMD is the primary downside earnings reaction. Despite strong data-center results, the stock is under pressure following reports that SpaceX will use Nvidia chips exclusively. Expect wide spreads and sharp reversals.
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TSLA – $325.00
CALLS
* Reclaim: 328.00
* Targets: 332.00 → 336.00 → 340.00
PUTS
* Lose: 323.00
* Targets: 320.00 → 316.00 → 312.00
Game Plan
TSLA is showing premarket weakness. Below 323 with increasing sell volume favors continuation, while a reclaim of 328 would invalidate the immediate bearish setup.
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PLTR – $161.12
CALLS
* Reclaim: 164.00
* Targets: 168.00 → 172.00 → 176.00
PUTS
* Lose: 159.50
* Targets: 156.00 → 152.00 → 148.00
Game Plan
PLTR remains an AI momentum name, but it is vulnerable to profit-taking after its earnings-driven move. Do not short strength without a confirmed breakdown.
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AVGO – $415.97
CALLS
* Reclaim: 420.00
* Targets: 425.00 → 430.00 → 436.00
PUTS
* Lose: 413.00
* Targets: 408.00 → 402.00 → 396.00
Game Plan
AVGO is showing semiconductor weakness while NVDA holds relative strength. A failure beneath 413 could open a deeper rotation lower.
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ARM – $275.48
CALLS
* Reclaim: 279.00
* Targets: 284.00 → 290.00 → 296.00
PUTS
* Lose: 273.00
* Targets: 268.00 → 263.00 → 258.00
Game Plan
ARM is moving with the weaker side of the semiconductor group. Favor puts only after support breaks and fails on the retest.
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💵 Small Account Watchlist
HOOD – $94.15
CALLS
* Reclaim: 95.00
* Targets: 97.00 → 99.00 → 101.00
PUTS
* Lose: 92.50
* Targets: 90.50 → 88.50 → 86.00
Game Plan
Strong momentum name. Wait for confirmation around 95 instead of chasing a premarket spike.
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NFLX – $74.27
CALLS
* Reclaim: 74.75
* Targets: 76.00 → 77.50 → 79.00
PUTS
* Lose: 73.25
* Targets: 72.00 → 70.50 → 69.00
Game Plan
The lower share price may provide more affordable contracts, but contract liquidity and spreads must still be checked.
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CRCL – $65.53
CALLS
* Reclaim: 66.00
* Targets: 68.00 → 70.00 → 72.50
PUTS
* Lose: 64.00
* Targets: 62.00 → 60.00 → 58.00
Game Plan
CRCL is showing strong premarket momentum. Treat it as a high-volatility setup and reduce position size.
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IREN – $40.87
CALLS
* Reclaim: 41.25
* Targets: 42.50 → 44.00 → 46.00
PUTS
* Lose: 40.00
* Targets: 38.75 → 37.50 → 36.00
Game Plan
Watch for confirmation from the broader AI infrastructure and cryptocurrency-related groups.
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SOFI – $18.66
CALLS
* Reclaim: 18.85
* Targets: 19.25 → 19.75 → 20.25
PUTS
* Lose: 18.40
* Targets: 18.00 → 17.60 → 17.20
Game Plan
Affordable name with a clean psychological level near $19. Require volume before entering either direction.
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⭐ Top 3 A+ TFZ Setups
1. NVDA Calls Above $216
Strong relative strength, clear catalyst and cleaner momentum than the rest of the semiconductor group.
2. AMD Puts Below $472
Post-earnings gap-down setup. Allow the opening volatility to settle before entering.
3. META Calls Above $596
Strong premarket structure with $600 acting as the first major psychological target.
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TFZ Game Plan
* 8:15 AM: Watch the reaction to ADP Employment.
* 9:45–10:00 AM: Expect another volatility window around Services PMI and ISM Services.
* Let the first 15-minute candle establish market structure.
* Calls require a reclaim, hold and rising volume.
* Puts require support loss, failed retest and seller confirmation.
* Do not chase AMD, NVDA or other earnings-related gaps.
* With VIX between 16 and 18, trade smaller and protect profits quickly.
* Prioritize tight bid-ask spreads, strong volume and contracts with approximately 0.60–0.75 delta.
We don’t guess, we confirm.
Educational purposes only. Trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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👀 TFZ WATCHLIST | Wednesday, August 5, 2026
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