Sep 18 (edited) • 🗣️ General discussion
👀 TFZ WATCHLIST | Friday, September 18, 2026
🌎 MARKET CONTEXT
• Market is showing SELECTIVE strength
• QQQ showing relative strength
• SPY and IWM showing weakness in our snapshot
• VIX: 15.41
• Technology / AI showing selective buying
• Oil continues pulling back
• Small caps lagging
• Space / speculative names showing weakness
• Fed rate path remains a major macro factor
Today is not a broad risk-on market.
Money is rotating into specific technology, semiconductor and AI infrastructure names while other areas remain under pressure.
🌡️ VIX CHECK
VIX: 15.41
🟢 Below 16 = Buyers have the advantage
🟡 16–18 = Caution
🔴 Above 18 = Sellers have the advantage
VIX remains below 16, but that does NOT mean every stock is bullish.
Today’s tape is showing clear separation between leaders and laggards.
🔄 SECTOR ROTATION
🟢 RELATIVE STRENGTH
• Mega-Cap Technology
• Select Semiconductors
• AI Infrastructure
• Data-Center Infrastructure
• Precious Metals
🟡 MIXED
• Broad Market
• Energy
• Financials
• Semiconductors overall
🔴 RELATIVE WEAKNESS
• Small Caps
• Space Stocks
• Select High-Beta / Speculative Growth
• Select Software
• Oil-sensitive Energy Names
🟢 TOP CALL WATCHLIST
1. GOOGL — $355.17
Mega-cap tech strength
2. META — $689.50
Strong relative strength
3. AVGO — $350.74
AI + semiconductor strength
4. VRT — $246.11
AI/data-center infrastructure
5. NBIS — $218.78
AI infrastructure strength
🔴 TOP PUT WATCHLIST
1. NVDA — $219.29
Relative weakness versus other AI / semiconductor names
2. MRVL — $239.31
Weak while several semiconductor peers remain green
3. IWM — $284.50
Small caps underperforming
4. RKLB — $64.83
Space sector showing broad weakness
5. SMCI — $39.27
AI-related name showing relative weakness
💰 SMALL ACCOUNT CALL WATCHLIST
🟢 HIMS — $28.47
Strong relative momentum
🟢 APLD — $26.94
AI infrastructure strength
🟢 IREN — $44.96
AI / data-center exposure
🟢 NVTS — $11.24
Semiconductor strength
🟢 CRCL — $89.82
Showing relative strength
💰 SMALL ACCOUNT PUT WATCHLIST
🔴 SOFI — $16.68
Relative weakness
🔴 QBTS — $17.17
Quantum sector weakness
🔴 RGTI — $15.62
Relative weakness
🔴 IONQ — $38.95
Quantum weakness
🔴 PL — $16.37
Space sector weakness
🤖 AI / SEMICONDUCTOR CHECK
🟢 STRONGER
AMD — $546.00
AVGO — $350.74
MU — $991.77
TSM — $433.66
ARM — $266.11
CAMT — $145.83
INTC — $109.73
🔴 WEAKER
NVDA — $219.29
MRVL — $239.31
Important:
Do NOT assume all semiconductors are moving together.
Today is a stock-picker’s tape.
⚡ AI INFRASTRUCTURE WATCH
🟢 VRT — $246.11
🟢 NBIS — $218.78
🟢 ANET — $200.33
🟢 SKHY — $185.54
🟢 GLW — $153.09
🟢 CAMT — $145.83
🟢 CRWV — $80.73
Relative weakness:
🔴 IBM
🔴 MRVL
🔴 DELL
🔴 DDOG
🔴 ORCL
🚀 SPACE WATCH
Most of the space group is showing weakness.
🟢 ALAB — $296.30
🟢 MARS — $25.91
🔴 SPCX — $154.15
🔴 RKLB — $64.83
🔴 ASTS — $59.62
🔴 UFO — $43.07
🔴 NASA — $23.85
🔴 PL — $16.37
🛢️ ENERGY / DEFENSE WATCH
🟢 GEV — $948.99
🟢 VLO — $413.41
🟢 TLN — $294.04
🔴 LMT — $534.35
🔴 NOC — $523.01
🔴 GD — $355.29
🔴 BE — $278.12
🔴 PSX — $272.72
Crude is cooling, so energy is no longer a simple momentum trade.
⭐ TOP 3 A+ TFZ WATCHES
1️⃣ GOOGL — CALL WATCH
Mega-cap technology strength + QQQ relative strength.
2️⃣ VRT — CALL WATCH
AI infrastructure + strong relative performance.
3️⃣ MRVL — PUT WATCH
Semiconductor weakness while several peers remain green.
The key today is RELATIVE STRENGTH versus RELATIVE WEAKNESS.
📌 TFZ WATCHLIST TAKEAWAY
The market is giving us a very clear lesson today:
SAME MARKET.
DIFFERENT MONEY FLOW.
QQQ can show strength while IWM struggles.
AMD and AVGO can be green while NVDA and MRVL are weak.
AI infrastructure can attract buyers while speculative growth and space stocks sell off.
We don't need every stock moving in the same direction.
We need to identify where the money is going — and where it is leaving.
Quality setups over quantity.
We don’t guess, we confirm.
Educational purposes only.
Trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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👀 TFZ WATCHLIST | Friday, September 18, 2026
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