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3d โ€ข ๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ General discussion
๐Ÿ‘€ TFZ WATCHLIST | Friday, August 7, 2026
๐ŸŒŽ Market Context
* Stock futures are slightly positive ahead of the July employment report at 8:30 AM ET.
* Payrolls are expected to increase by roughly 80,000โ€“83,000, with unemployment holding near 4.2%. A large surprise could produce sharp movement in yields and technology stocks. Reutersโ 
* AI infrastructure, semiconductors, software, nuclear energy, and space stocks are showing relative strength.
* TEAM and NET are moving after strong earnings, while CEG is higher after beating earnings expectations and raising guidance.
* Do not enter before the employment report. Let the first 15-minute candle establish direction, then use the 5-minute and 2-minute charts for confirmation.
๐Ÿ“Š VIX Game Plan
Current VIX: 15.18
๐ŸŸข Under 16 = Buyers In Control
๐ŸŸก 16โ€“18 = Caution
๐Ÿ”ด Above 18 = Sellers In Control
โธป
๐ŸŸข CALL WATCHLIST
NVDA โ€“ $219.92
CALLS
* Reclaim: $220.50
* Targets: $222.00 โ†’ $224.00 โ†’ $226.50
PUTS
* Lose: $217.75
* Targets: $216.00 โ†’ $213.50 โ†’ $211.00
Game Plan
AI leader. Calls require a clean hold above $220.50 with semiconductor participation. Avoid chasing an opening spike.
โธป
AMD โ€“ $495.30
CALLS
* Reclaim: $498.00
* Targets: $502.50 โ†’ $507.50 โ†’ $512.00
PUTS
* Lose: $491.50
* Targets: $487.00 โ†’ $482.50 โ†’ $478.00
Game Plan
Watch for continuation with NVDA and QQQ. The better entry is a breakout followed by a successful retest of $498.
โธป
PLTR โ€“ $158.24
CALLS
* Reclaim: $159.00
* Targets: $161.00 โ†’ $163.50 โ†’ $166.00
PUTS
* Lose: $156.50
* Targets: $154.50 โ†’ $152.00 โ†’ $149.50
Game Plan
Strong momentum, but extended. Let it pull back and hold or establish a higher low before entering calls.
โธป
DDOG โ€“ $234.99
CALLS
* Reclaim: $236.00
* Targets: $239.00 โ†’ $242.50 โ†’ $246.00
PUTS
* Lose: $231.50
* Targets: $228.00 โ†’ $224.50 โ†’ $221.00
Game Plan
Software momentum candidate. Look for volume and acceptance above $236, not just a quick wick through it.
โธป
CEG โ€“ $263.80
CALLS
* Reclaim: $265.00
* Targets: $268.00 โ†’ $272.00 โ†’ $276.00
PUTS
* Lose: $260.00
* Targets: $256.50 โ†’ $252.50 โ†’ $248.00
Game Plan
Earnings and raised-guidance momentum. Because it has already moved, wait for a pullback that holds or a clean consolidation breakout. Investorโ€™s Business Dailyโ 
โธป
๐Ÿ”ด PUT WATCHLIST
META โ€“ $588.78
CALLS
* Reclaim: $591.00
* Targets: $595.00 โ†’ $598.50 โ†’ $602.00
PUTS
* Lose: $586.00
* Targets: $582.00 โ†’ $578.00 โ†’ $573.50
Game Plan
META remains below the psychological $600 area. Puts become stronger if $586 breaks while QQQ weakens.
โธป
MSFT โ€“ $497.84
CALLS
* Reclaim: $500.00
* Targets: $503.50 โ†’ $507.00 โ†’ $511.00
PUTS
* Lose: $495.50
* Targets: $492.00 โ†’ $488.00 โ†’ $484.00
Game Plan
The $500 level is the pivot. Below $495.50 favors continuation lower; above $500 with volume cancels the bearish setup.
โธป
AAPL โ€“ $312.09
CALLS
* Reclaim: $314.00
* Targets: $316.50 โ†’ $319.00 โ†’ $322.00
PUTS
* Lose: $310.00
* Targets: $307.50 โ†’ $305.00 โ†’ $302.00
Game Plan
Watch for weakness beneath $310. Avoid puts if it quickly reclaims $312 and begins outperforming QQQ.
โธป
NFLX โ€“ $73.45
CALLS
* Reclaim: $74.25
* Targets: $75.50 โ†’ $77.00 โ†’ $78.50
PUTS
* Lose: $72.75
* Targets: $71.50 โ†’ $70.00 โ†’ $68.50
Game Plan
Weak relative structure. Puts need a confirmed break under $72.75; do not enter after an oversized flush without a retest.
โธป
VST โ€“ $138.01
CALLS
* Reclaim: $140.00
* Targets: $143.00 โ†’ $146.00 โ†’ $150.00
PUTS
* Lose: $136.50
* Targets: $133.50 โ†’ $130.00 โ†’ $126.00
Game Plan
Earnings volatility makes this higher risk. Below $136.50 keeps sellers in control; reduce size and demand strong volume confirmation.
โธป
๐Ÿ’ต Small Account Watchlist
LYFT โ€“ $16.38
CALLS
* Reclaim: $16.50
* Targets: $16.80 โ†’ $17.10 โ†’ $17.50
PUTS
* Lose: $16.10
* Targets: $15.80 โ†’ $15.50 โ†’ $15.15
Game Plan
Earnings-related volatility. Wait for price to hold one side of the $16.10โ€“$16.50 range.
โธป
SOFI โ€“ $18.27
CALLS
* Reclaim: $18.40
* Targets: $18.70 โ†’ $19.00 โ†’ $19.40
PUTS
* Lose: $18.00
* Targets: $17.75 โ†’ $17.50 โ†’ $17.15
Game Plan
Momentum remains constructive, but $18.70โ€“$19 is the larger resistance zone. Do not chase into it.
โธป
IREN โ€“ $39.01
CALLS
* Reclaim: $39.40
* Targets: $40.00 โ†’ $41.00 โ†’ $42.25
PUTS
* Lose: $38.40
* Targets: $37.75 โ†’ $37.00 โ†’ $36.00
Game Plan
AI-infrastructure momentum candidate. Favor calls only while the sector and QQQ remain firm.
โธป
QBTS โ€“ $19.78
CALLS
* Reclaim: $20.00
* Targets: $20.50 โ†’ $21.25 โ†’ $22.00
PUTS
* Lose: $19.30
* Targets: $18.80 โ†’ $18.25 โ†’ $17.50
Game Plan
High-volatility quantum name. Use smaller size and avoid contracts with wide bid-ask spreads.
โธป
UMAC โ€“ $25.16
CALLS
* Reclaim: $25.50
* Targets: $26.25 โ†’ $27.00 โ†’ $28.00
PUTS
* Lose: $24.60
* Targets: $24.00 โ†’ $23.25 โ†’ $22.50
Game Plan
Thin, speculative defense name. Shares may offer better risk control if the options chain lacks liquidity.
โธป
โญ Top 3 A+ TFZ Setups
1. NVDA calls above $220.50
Best if QQQ holds strength and semiconductors move together.
2. DDOG calls above $236.00
Earnings-related software momentum with a breakout-and-retest entry.
3. META puts below $586.00
Best bearish setup if QQQ loses support following the jobs report.
TFZ Game Plan
* No entries before the 8:30 AM employment report.
* Wait for the initial reaction and avoid trading the first spike.
* Use the 15-minute candle for structure and the 5-minute/2-minute charts for entry confirmation.
* Calls are favored while VIX stays below 16 and QQQ holds strength.
* If VIX moves above 16 and SPY/QQQ lose their opening ranges, shift attention toward put setups.
* Use contracts with a 0.60โ€“0.75 delta, tight spreads, and strong volume/open interest.
* Take partial profits at the first target and move the stop to protect the trade.
We donโ€™t guess, we confirm.
Educational purposes only. Trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Ronald Chapman
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๐Ÿ‘€ TFZ WATCHLIST | Friday, August 7, 2026
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