I initiated my first position in Microsoft today.
This is execution on the prior watchlist, not a new thesis.
To increase probability of profit in this market, I used a defined-risk, long-dated structure instead of a stock entry:
- Bought: MSFT Jan 17, 2027 $400 Call
- Sold: MSFT Jan 17, 2027 $450 Call
- Structure: Bull Call Spread
This allows me to:
- Get upside exposure near the $400 decision level
- Reduce sensitivity to short-term volatility
- Let HTF demand and time do the work without needing perfect timing
This is a position-style trade, not a one-and-done entry.
I’m comfortable building only if price works deeper into HTF demand and structure remains intact.
The line in the sand remains structural, not emotional:Clean acceptance below the lower HTF demand (~345) would change the thesis.