Daily Trading Read
VIX moved up to 18.6 from 18.0 = [RIP TIDES]. Broad risk is positive with SP500, Nasdaq, Russell, and Bitcoin higher, but SOX is sharply negative. This is a split tape: bullish surface, rising volatility underneath. Expect chop and be selective.
Bull Entries
- XLV — GU Path A. Valid long setup.
- TLT — GU Path A. Valid long setup, but lower conviction due to LT conflict.
Bear Entries
- CVX — GD Path A. High-conviction bear setup.
- GLD — GD Path A. High-conviction bear setup.
- NVDA — GD Path A. Bear setup; IVR is extremely cheap.
- IBIT — GD Path A. Bear setup; cheap-options environment.
- SLV — GD Path A. Bear setup.
- FCX — GD Path A. Bear setup; IVR 101 supports premium.
- QQQ — HD Path B. Secondary bear setup.
- DOW — HD Path B. Secondary bear setup.
Premium Focus
- SELL Short Put: XLV — IVR 52, GU signal.
- SELL Short Calls on Core Holdings: CVX, DOW, FCX, GS, MS, NBIS, SOFI.
- Highest premium names: FCX 101, NBIS 86, MS 66, GS 61, CVX 55, DOW 52, SOFI 45.
Cheap Options
- NVDA, TLT, XLU, SPY, XLF, BAC, IBIT.
Core Holding Read
- CVX, DOW, FCX have bearish path alignment and premium opportunities.
- GS, MS, NBIS, SOFI are premium-only, not directional entries.
- BAC and JPM are W status: no directional entry and no premium sale today.