Mon 6/29 Daily Report
Daily Trading Read
VIX moved up to 18.6 from 18.0 = [RIP TIDES]. Broad risk is positive with SP500, Nasdaq, Russell, and Bitcoin higher, but SOX is sharply negative. This is a split tape: bullish surface, rising volatility underneath. Expect chop and be selective.
Bull Entries
  • XLV — GU Path A. Valid long setup.
  • TLT — GU Path A. Valid long setup, but lower conviction due to LT conflict.
Bear Entries
  • CVX — GD Path A. High-conviction bear setup.
  • GLD — GD Path A. High-conviction bear setup.
  • NVDA — GD Path A. Bear setup; IVR is extremely cheap.
  • IBIT — GD Path A. Bear setup; cheap-options environment.
  • SLV — GD Path A. Bear setup.
  • FCX — GD Path A. Bear setup; IVR 101 supports premium.
  • QQQ — HD Path B. Secondary bear setup.
  • DOW — HD Path B. Secondary bear setup.
Premium Focus
  • SELL Short Put: XLV — IVR 52, GU signal.
  • SELL Short Calls on Core Holdings: CVX, DOW, FCX, GS, MS, NBIS, SOFI.
  • Highest premium names: FCX 101, NBIS 86, MS 66, GS 61, CVX 55, DOW 52, SOFI 45.
Cheap Options
  • NVDA, TLT, XLU, SPY, XLF, BAC, IBIT.
Core Holding Read
  • CVX, DOW, FCX have bearish path alignment and premium opportunities.
  • GS, MS, NBIS, SOFI are premium-only, not directional entries.
  • BAC and JPM are W status: no directional entry and no premium sale today.
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Andrew Kuhlmann
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Mon 6/29 Daily Report
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