IWM Bailey game plan
This fits your framework well. Your Weekly Map gives the macro battlefield, and your Daily Battlefield tells you where today’s fight is likely to happen.
🦁 IWM GAME PLAN | Monday, July 13, 2026
📖 THE MAP (Weekly)
Weekly High: 300.41
Weekly Low: 290.68
Weekly Range: $9.73
This is a healthy-sized weekly range, which tells us institutions have already shown they’re willing to move the market. The key question now is whether they continue lower or reclaim lost ground.
⚔️ THE BATTLEFIELD (Daily)
Daily High: 298.21
Daily Low: 293.62
Daily Range: $4.59
Friday (the last trading session) closed weak after rejecting higher prices. Buyers attempted to defend the EMA but couldn’t hold control into the close.
The market is beginning the new week slightly below the middle of last week’s structure.
🌵 THE DESERT (Chop Zone)
295.76 → 296.82
This is your decision zone.
Inside this area:
  • Buyers and sellers are evenly matched.
  • Expect fake breakouts and whipsaws.
  • Don’t force trades.
This is where patience beats prediction.
💧 THE WATERING HOLE
296.82
This is the first level institutions must reclaim.
Above it:
  • Buyers regain momentum.
  • Watch for a move toward 297.94.
  • If 297.94 breaks, 298.21 becomes the next target.
Below it:
  • Sellers remain in control.
  • 295.76 becomes resistance.
  • A break of 295.18 opens the door toward the weekly low around 290.68 over time.
🦁 Hunter’s Plan
🟢 Bullish
  • Hold above 296.82
  • Break 297.94
  • Target:
  • 298.21
  • 299.50
  • 300.41
🔴 Bearish
  • Lose 295.76
  • Reject back below 296.25
  • Targets:
  • 295.18
  • 294.50
  • 293.62
🎯 9:45 Candle Strategy
Wait for the 9:45 candle to close.
  • Above the high → Calls after the retest.
  • Below the low → Puts after the retest.
  • Inside the range → No trade. Let the market reveal its hand.
🧠 Watering Hole Principle
Don’t chase the first move.
The first move creates emotion.
The retest creates opportunity.
Hunters don’t attack when the herd starts running—they wait to see where it returns to drink.
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IWM Bailey game plan
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