NFL Week 18 — Straight-Up Confidence Rankings (16 → 1)
16) Jacksonville over Tennessee — best form + Titans collapse.
15) Houston over Indianapolis — #1 defense; high win probability.
14) New England over Miami — Pats offense profile + big spread implies separation.
13) Denver over LA Chargers — Broncos win often at home; cover is the question.
12) LA Rams over Arizona — Rams offense mismatch is massive.
11) Buffalo over NY Jets — Bills offense vs Jets scoring issues.
10) Philadelphia over Washington — Eagles edge in trenches + home.
09) Cincinnati over Cleveland — Bengals more reliable outright; Browns can still cover.
08) Kansas City over Las Vegas — Raiders offense too weak.
07) Atlanta over New Orleans — Saints offense limits comeback ability.
06) Baltimore over Pittsburgh — better offense, but rivalry volatility.
05) Dallas over NY Giants — offense mismatch; history supports DAL.
04) Tampa Bay over Carolina — cleaner baseline, even if ATS is shaky.
03) San Francisco over Seattle — coin-flip spread
02) Green Bay over Minnesota — Packers’ offensive efficiency.
01) Chicago over Detroit — Bears form + home edge.
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Bob Johnson
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NFL Week 18 — Straight-Up Confidence Rankings (16 → 1)
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