2d • General discussion
Important Economic News today - What does it mean?
🕒 Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
Wednesday, 18 December
📌 What’s Coming
• Fed Interest Rate Decision• FOMC Statement• Powell Press Conference
⏰ Release Times (all zones)
Fed Rate Decision• 14:00 ET• 19:00 BST• 23:00 UAE• 03:00 (+1 day) Singapore
Press Conference• 14:30 ET• 19:30 BST• 23:30 UAE• 03:30 (+1 day) Singapore
🔍 Deeper Insight — What Truly Matters
1️⃣ The Decision & Forward Guidance
The number itself is often priced in.The key is the Fed’s wording on future cuts:
- More cuts than expected → USD down, risk assets up
- Fewer cuts → USD up, stocks & gold pressured
2️⃣ Inflation Narrative
Looking for confidence that inflation is sustainably heading to 2%
- “Still sticky” inflation → hawkish shift
- “Clear progress” → dovish tilt
3️⃣ Employment & Growth Signals
Softening labour data gives the Fed room to ease
- Concern about jobs → faster cuts
- Strong jobs → slower cuts
4️⃣ Balance Sheet / Liquidity
Any hint on slowing QT (Quantitative Tightening) would be bullish for equities
📊 Market Impact Potential
Expected high volatility in:• USD pairs• Gold & Silver• US Indices (S&P, Nasdaq, Dow)• Bonds & Yields
⚠️ Powell’s Q&A is usually the real market-moverThe first move is often wrong → reversal risk high 🔁
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Important Economic News today - What does it mean?
