20d • General discussion
Why there's zero edge in Forex, why I hate it but how you can still be profitable
Why There’s Zero Edge in Forex (and Why I Still Trade It) Shout out to for the idea
Hot take: Forex has almost no edge for retail traders.That’s why I hate it.
99% of FX content is:
- random indicators
- pattern worship
- “liquidity grabs” with zero context
- pretending EUR/USD moves because of a candle shape
Currencies don’t move because of TA.They move because of macro pressure.
Why Forex feels rigged
Forex is:
- ultra-efficient
- dominated by central banks, governments, and institutions
- constantly mean-reverting unless something forces it not to
So if you’re trying to scalp 10 pips with RSI and hope… yeah, good luck.
Where the real opportunity actually is
The only time Forex becomes interesting is at the edges.
Edges = moments where something has to happen.
That usually comes from:
- interest rate differentials
- inflation gaps
- debt stress
- political pressure
- central bank credibility breaking
Example 👇When JPY/USD gets pushed to extreme levels, it’s not random.
Japan can’t let its currency:
- destroy imports
- crush consumers
- destabilize bonds
So eventually:
- policy shifts
- intervention happens
- or global risk flips
The trade isn’t “this looks overbought”The trade is “this situation is unsustainable”
How you can still be profitable
If you want a real shot in Forex, you need to:
- stop thinking like a trader
- start thinking like a policymaker
Ask:
- Who’s under pressure right now?
- Who benefits from this move continuing?
- Who can’t afford it continuing?
- What political or economic lever is likely to be pulled?
Then you wait.And you trade reaction, not prediction.
Final truth
Forex is boring. Forex is slow. Forex is unforgiving.
But if you understand macro economics and incentives,and you position at extremes where intervention or regime change is likely…
That’s where the edge lives.
Not in indicators. Not in patterns at the edges.
Enjoy
8:01
3
1 comment
Why there's zero edge in Forex, why I hate it but how you can still be profitable
powered by
skool.com/crypto-institute-9433
Learn to trade, invest & master blockchain with clear, actionable strategies for success in the fast-paced crypto world.
Suggested communities
Powered by