21d • General discussion
📊Markets I’m Watching Today + Active Positions
Quick look at how I’m approaching the markets today..for context and learning, not signals.
1️⃣ USD/JPY — Swing Short 🇺🇸🇯🇵
I’m in a swing short on USD/JPY, looking for continuation lower.
Why:A big driver here is the Japanese bond market.
- Japanese yields are pushing higher, which is actually bad news for Japan
- Japan carries massive debt and isn’t built for higher rates
- Rising yields increase financial stress and force capital back into Japan
- That leads to carry trades unwinding, strengthening the yen and pressuring USD/JPY lower
Technically, this aligns with:
- Loss of upside momentum
- Lower highs on higher timeframes
Macro + structure are pointing the same way.
2️⃣ S&P 500: Short 📉I’m also short the S&P 500.
- Two weeks of steady downside
- Weak bounces, no real impulsive recovery
- Sellers remain in control until structure changes
Slow trends often continue longer than expected.
3️⃣ Silver: Long 🥈I’m long silver, looking for new highs today.
- Bullish structure intact
- Price pressing highs with momentum
- Metals tend to benefit during equity weakness and currency volatility
🧠 Final ThoughtI focus on probability, structure, and risk — not predictions.
Understanding how rates, bonds, and capital flows connect to price is where real edge comes from.
With that said...it will be interesting to see what happens to the price of oil today. I think there's a chance it goes up..meaning it could impact silver and (unlikely) gold.
Happy Trading, if you have any questions post them below.
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📊Markets I’m Watching Today + Active Positions
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