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Player Props Spotlight - Pete Larsson & Tyrese Maxey | January 22, 2026
🧠 FOCUS POD FOLLOW-UP ANALYSIS
1) Pelle Larsson (MIA) — Projected Stat Line (vs POR, 10:00 PM ET)
Context anchors
Season baseline (role player level): 9.2 PTS / 2.9 AST / 2.6 REB in 22.1 MPG.
With key Miami creators sidelined, Larsson has recently been pushed into real facilitation: 16 PTS + 9 AST in 26 minutes last game.
Prop-market confirms the same “assist lane”: Larsson 3+ assists (-175) is being featured as the angle.
Li Ru × Nexus projection (median with range)
Minutes: 26 (range 22–30)
Points: 11 (range 8–15)
Rebounds: 4 (range 2–6)
Assists: 4 (range 3–6) ← pace/possession lever + role bump
Steals: 1 (range 0–2)
Blocks: 0 (range 0–1)
Why (tight)
Miami’s pace/possession volume raises total assist opportunities even if shot quality wobbles.
Larsson’s recent 9-assist proof says the role can scale when Miami is shorthanded.
2) Tyrese Maxey (PHI) — Projected Stat Line (vs HOU, 7:00 PM ET)
Context anchors
Market is pricing Maxey like a primary engine tonight: Points line 25.5 (-120) on a major board.
Steals lane is explicitly live: Maxey Over 1.5 steals (-143) is published as a target.
His defensive-event production has shown extreme spikes (8 steals game noted), with overall steals average now elevated in commentary.
Li Ru × Nexus projection (median with range)
Minutes: 37 (range 34–40)
Points: 29 (range 25–34)
Rebounds: 4 (range 3–6)
Assists: 7 (range 5–10)
Steals: 2 (range 1–3) ← pressure → steals lane
Blocks: 0 (range 0–1)
Why (tight)
Team identity supports defensive event creation (PHI steals profile), and Maxey’s recent run shows “gamble windows” are open.
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Player Props Spotlight - Pete Larsson & Tyrese Maxey | January 22, 2026
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